Opening day is just a few days away and the start of Baseball is a sign of spring which is a sign of rebirth, and a sign that every Baseball team including the Cubs, Pirates and Royals have a fresh start and an equal chance as every other team to win the World Series.  Then again…..maybe not.  However, just because we know certain teams start this season with literally no chance of winning it all doesn’t mean that you have to start the season with absolutely no chance of winning at betting Baseball this year.  As a matter fact, it is important for you to jump on betting the bases early in the season to take advantage of weaker lines and odds makers’ mistakes.

The betting public and odds makers are always behind when it comes to the start of the Baseball season.  After a whole season of Football, the huge College Basketball cards that are out there daily and most importantly March Madness, which is the second biggest betting event of the year, no one simply has time to study Baseball.  Most people just go into the year analyzing last year’s numbers and final standings.  The lines are set and bet into with that mindset.  Teams that were bad last year will get the high plus odds.  You will always pay a high price for the major media market darlings like the Red Sox, Yankees and Phillies early on regardless of what happened to those teams in the off-season.

In March-April since 2004, blindly betting on dogs in Baseball would have resulted in a 1,249-1,506 record for +109.16 units for every unit bet.  Again, that is blindly betting on every dog on the card over the course of 2,755 games.  I find this to be the most amazing stat in sports betting where you can get a return on investment of about 4% by doing absolutely no work.  The worst year for this theory was 2005, which resulted in -8.40 units.  In 2007, the theory lost -1.15 units, but in every other year, the theory showed a profit.  Read More→